When do you think virus-related disruptions will end?

[urbaneve71]

LOL -- I work in a casino -- I can set up the over/under and point spread

 

[RockiesFan]

Flyboy08 says July 12. I will take the over for a total all clear.

 

[The Chairman]

LOL -- I work in a casino -- I can set up the over/under and point spread

Practice social distancing and no more than 10 people at a time in the pool.

 

[Centrals]

We had an anomalous number of severe pneumonia cases starting as early as December 2019 here in Italy, but no one was testing patients for COVID-19.

Only chinese knew what was it(new virus) all about in Dec 2019.
Italy did not try to identify the bacteria, fungi or virus that caused the outbreak!

 

[Angelo Farina]

Only chinese knew what was it(new virus) all about in Dec 2019.
Italy did not try to identify the bacteria, fungi or virus that caused the outbreak!

Also if someone had the idea of testing, there was no reference RNA code to compare with, so it was materially impossible to make tests here.
We had the first RNA fingerprint, allowing us to make tests, only after a couple of Chinese being on holidays in Italy did show the symptoms, but it was already end of January.

 

[Jcp2]

When the Pandemic Hits the Most Vulnerable

I think diving in a developed country might be possible by mid summer. I have no idea how developing nations are going to handle basic functions, let alone host tourists from abroad.

 

[Centrals]

Also if someone had the idea of testing, there was no reference RNA code to compare with, so it was materially impossible to make tests here.
We had the first RNA fingerprint, allowing us to make tests, only after a couple of Chinese being on holidays in Italy did show the symptoms, but it was already end of January.

I am not talking about testing for that particular virus.

I meant finding out what caused the illness.

The Chinese doctor who tried to warn about coronavirus

 

[Blackcrusader]

When the Pandemic Hits the Most Vulnerable

I think diving in a developed country might be possible by mid summer. I have no idea how developing nations are going to handle basic functions, let alone host tourists from abroad.

Mid summer is January in Australia NZ South Africa and plenty of other developed countries

 

[Angelo Farina]

I am not talking about testing for that particular virus.

I meant finding out what caused the illness.

Current practice here is to make a bacterial culture in case of bacterial pneumonia, for evaluating the best antibiotic, which does not give resistance.
But in case of a viral pneumonia no test is done, as it does not change the therapy.
This strategy will possibly change in future, of course...

 

[chillyinCanada]

Angelo, I'd be curious for your take on this paper, published back in November:

Investigating the impact of influenza on excess mortality in all ages in Italy during recent seasons (2013/14–2016/17 seasons) - ScienceDirect

It suggests that in 2016/17, there were 25,000 fatalities in Italy due to the regular flu (it was a bad flu year).

At the moment, Italy has had fewer than 10,000 deaths due to COVID. There are reports that Italy is nearing the top of its steep COVID fatalities curve. If that is true, one might expect the total number of fatalities in Italy to be under 25,000 before the pandemic subsides in your country. In other words, the number of fatalities due to COVID would be consistent with a bad year of the regular flu.

It's not happening over the course of a year. That's the problem everywhere