mccabejc
Contributor
The contention that since the overall risk of DCS is very low, then there is probably little additional benefit from EAN seems flawed to me. I read "overall risk" as the risk to the diving community in general. As others have alluded to, if 10 people in a total of 10,000 dives get DCS due to excess nitrogen (made-up numbers), then yes, the overall risk to the community is low (0.1%). But that's meaningless in terms of evaluating protective measures for those 10 people.
Sure, if EAN cuts that down from 10 to 8 incidences, in the overall scheme of things that's only going from 0.1% to 0.08%. No biggie. But that's actually a 20% reduction in the number of incidences. That's a biggie, especially for those two divers.
I'm guessing that the problem is that we can't prove the "if EAN cuts that down" part. There's no way to prove that the presence of EAN on a particular dive avoided DCS. All we can do is look at gross statistics. Maybe they look to see if there's a corresponding decrease in DCS cases in the general dive population as the popularity and use of EAN increases. Dunno.
I hope I'm interpreting it wrong, and it's not the case that PADI, et. al., are just looking at overall risk to the dive community and saying EAN wouldn't make a difference. Heck, nothing would make a difference using that logic.
Sure, if EAN cuts that down from 10 to 8 incidences, in the overall scheme of things that's only going from 0.1% to 0.08%. No biggie. But that's actually a 20% reduction in the number of incidences. That's a biggie, especially for those two divers.
I'm guessing that the problem is that we can't prove the "if EAN cuts that down" part. There's no way to prove that the presence of EAN on a particular dive avoided DCS. All we can do is look at gross statistics. Maybe they look to see if there's a corresponding decrease in DCS cases in the general dive population as the popularity and use of EAN increases. Dunno.
I hope I'm interpreting it wrong, and it's not the case that PADI, et. al., are just looking at overall risk to the dive community and saying EAN wouldn't make a difference. Heck, nothing would make a difference using that logic.