lamont
Contributor
sleepdiver:You are so right. It is a free country and anyone can think or say what they want (short of inciting a riot). The point I am making is that uninformed speculation is just that - uninformed.
You are using black and white logic. In the actual world, knowledge is fuzzy and our ability to know anything is in shades of grey or percentages. We may have a very high degree of certainty in our applied understanding of gravity (things fall down). We know much less about most scuba diving accidents, but we do not know *nothing* about them. And I do believe we can search for patterns within the fuzzy dataset and come up with conclusions that have higher confidences than what we can see in any one incident. That is why its useful to carefully think and speculate about incidents.
It is not something to learn from.
You don't think it is, and I completely disagree.
You seem to assume that all people are stupid enough to take situations where the facts aren't known with 100% certainty and draw 100% certain conclusions out of them. In reality, *everything* that we know is not known with 100% certainty. All knowledge is fundamentally a process of determining what things we believe with more certainty and pushing the limits of how certain something is known. Epistomologically there is absolutely no way to arrive at a known 100% truth short of simple evidence-free faith.
But as you say it is inherent in people to speculate and they have a right to do it. On this board, too often, speculation turns into uninformed judgment by well-intended people wanting to produce "lessons". I simply think the excercise useless and with potential for harm. But, like gossip, if people want to do it, it is ok. Just call it what it is - speculation and don't try and learn a lesson from speculation (or, I should say, I won't).
Fine. If you can't accept anything you don't know with 100% certainty that's your right and I can't stop you.
The other problem with speculation is that it ripples out beyond the dive community into the public and family. When the family members see this gossipy speculation (and it is all over this board - often by divers with no experience - but this is rightfully a "democratic" board), it just fosters doubt with family and friends, perhaps about the divers involved - even though it is totally groundless. These people do get referred to this board and read it whether we think about it or not.
I don't buy into censoring or quashing discussion because words might hurt someone. That is a very dangerous way to think about speech.
So, anyway, say what we want - this is America. But ethically, think about what you are saying in terms of its merit and in a context beyond the dive community and how family or friends will take it if they read it. If it is just speculation, call it that.
Sure, and there's usually one or two loudmouths who all they want to do is rationalize how they dive and that it couldn't happen to them. They're your posterchildren for why you don't like speculation. You're allowing them to frame and control the debate, though, if you just quash it all.
As an aside, and not to be insulting by any means, I find this notion of "If I should die..." just incredibly naive. But as I said, it is a free country and that is my opinion.
Naive? It happens to everyone.