I am not an expert, and I wrote to DAN. I am awaiting a response.John, that is a very interesting finding. If it is true, it would suggest that the primary cause of DCS in rec dives is not the dive profiles per se (or related things like gas choice or equipment failure), but basically rustiness. Spacing out, forgetting how to use your equipment correctly, struggling to control your ascents with new or unfamiliar gear, struggling with poor weighting, etc. Do you interpret it along these lines as well?
In any case, if you have a link to that DAN presentation or it underlaying research, I would be eager to see it.
There is another theory that could account for it. Years ago, it was commonly believed that the act of diving acclimated your body to the process of decompression. An analogy would be the occasional diver who has trouble equalizing on the first day of a dive trip but has no trouble at all by day 3-4. I remember a SB thread many years ago on that topic.