2015 Caribbean Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season

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Doc

Was RoatanMan
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We are well on the way, but as always, who knows what tomorrow may bring?

For immediate images and relevant links to every other useful site: Jay's Hurricane Images - Real-Time Imagery of Tropical Storms

Watch the Equator of Africa. These storms usually start there- being spit out light a machine gun.

They then track Eastward across the Atlantic, heading for the NE South American coast.

(09/01/15 image)

They either continue on an Equatorial path (as they have to enter and spawn the current Pacific record of three-at-once), or get "lifted" in a clockwise curve... how much of a curve? Before the Windward Islands? In the Caribbean...hitting Belize, Coz, TX, LA or FL?

Let the betting begin!

Here's my general take and comment:



Some historical data in no particular chronological order....

Note the actual dates within the seasonal map itself, certain periods of August-December will generally create more clockwise lift.


2004 a busy year, very discernible clockwise lift


2006, lighter, but clockwise lift as above in 2004

2005 was a busy year, NOT a whole lot of "lift", patterns ill defined

2007, no appreciable lift


2008 looks atypical at first glance, then it becomes "the norm"

2009 pretty listless


2010 perked up


2003 showed some very early lift and unusual (mid-Atlantic) rotation counterclockwise

1998 of course, the contradictory Hurricane Mitch

---------- Post added September 2nd, 2015 at 04:51 AM ----------





 
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Still not generating much power, but African Equatorial storms are beginning a more cohesive track



The weather report for Tobago (that very good dive destination at the far bottom of the Antilles, just before South America)....



Oh look, the experts from Yahoo Travel have voiced an opinion...

https://www.yahoo.com/travel/hurricane-proof-caribbean-vacations-128515955147.html

Most of it, anyone would agree with, but...

Who cares if it contradicts satellite maps and historical data for Barbados?
 
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