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If we take Ambon for instance, where they have glorious diving along with a quite good airport, great flight connections, more than 20 flights a week from Jakarta, planning to get regular flights from Singapore... Is Ambon seeing more diving visitors... uh... within a year at least I haven't seen any changes. There's one upmarket dive operator with regular divers and the other less expensive one which is struggling (reason why, I dunno, marketing issue maybe...).
You make a great point with Ambon not becoming too packed, but I don't really think it has the tourism potential as RA. Muck diving is a special niche for a special kind of diver. When one talks to the instructors in Lembeh about the clientele, it is 95% very experienced divers armed with above average cameras. However, instructors teach OW and AOW all the time on Bunaken. New/casual divers don't want to spend thousands to hover above sand and rocks (and trash) to see a hairy frogfish. Even websites selling dive travel only recommend a maximum of five or six days around Ambon. To contrast, RA offers tons of big fish: many sharks, mantas, bumpheads, travelli, etc... in addition to massive sites dense with pristine coral. It is, quite simply, National Geographic diving meshed National Geographic landscapes such as The Passage. Of course I do not think RA will explode like Bali...but could it become much more like Bunaken? Absolutely.
If/when that airport opens up to flights from Denpasar and Singapore, I expect to see things changing out there... although I truly hope you are more right than me.
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