Lili update

[Jarhead]

WTNT23 KNHC 301444
TCMAT3
HURRICANE LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1302
1500Z MON SEP 30 2002

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA
HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF CUBA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 80.0W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 80.0W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 79.6W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.6N 81.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.7N 83.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.0N 86.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 80.0W

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.5N 88.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 28.0N 92.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

 

[got4boyz]

Well Lili sure is ruining my weekend vacation plans. The kids don't have school Monday so we were planning a long weekend trip to Panama City, Florida from SE Texas. We were planning on leaving Thursday late afternoon, but it looks as if Lili will be blocking our path, if not hitting us nearly directly! Even should she hit land earlier and we left a little later, I'm afraid the storm would still mess up the diving in Panama City!

Click on this link to see the latest predictions on where she is heading:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT13/AL1302W.GIF

 

[seaangel]

Rethink your plans, maybe you should look at some of the springs inland on FL. The water temp will be the same no matter what, they are clear and even if it rains some they are still do able. There are some options of springs in FL not that much further in from Panama City Bch. and more protected than the OW of the Gulf.

 

[got4boyz]

but unfortunately from where I live I would have to drive right through the hurricane's path to get there! Need to find something North or west or NW of me here in SE Texas!