MikeFerrara once bubbled...
IMO we are killing people by not insisting on good buoyancy control prior to issuing them a card and sending them on vacation to the Caribbean to do 100 ft dives.
Along with many of the other statistics you cite. I didn't get to read all of this thread, but went back a few pages. It absolutely amazes me how persistent the concept is that the skill level of the general divng public is even moderately adequate.
I am by no means a "very experienced" diver in terms of number of dives. But I was fortunately trained by someone who insisted that I understand very well the ramifications of diving irresponsibly. And I take the process of getting suited up very seriously every time. No matter where or what the conditions.
I don't find the statistical cite that a large % of accidents are early in a dve series, especially after a long hiatus.
I don't have the experience as an instructor to see divers on that regular of basis, but I can attest from my personal experience that it is extremely common for people to dive 15-20 dives on a vactation, and the entire "plan" process consists of listening to the divemaster tell them they are diving XYZ site, with a brief description of what they can expect.
Even before I took the rescue course (and much of the impetous to have done so) I saw many situtions where it was obvious an individual was struggling to maintian composure. No particular or common reason apparent other than the person seemed to be dealing with an unfamiliar situation.
IMHO, the one thing I see as lacking is an emphasis on the dangers of this sport. I know, I know... it's driven by the economics of telling people that and not being able to get more people involved. But how does that differ from the people that leave the sport after a near miss. You can bet they're going to pass that along by word of mouth. Especially if they perceive after the fact that it was a result of inadequate training.
But hey... I don't think they stress how dangerous it is to drive a car either. If you had people stand 20 feet away from one of those Insurance Institue crash tests, they'd get the idea real quick!
Back to the topic of deep diving. It's like snow skiing. You don't start out on the black diamond runs. Staying with that analogy, anyone who has much exerience with snow skiing knows that it takes years to get to that point. Not a one day lesson, unless you want to get hurt! It's incremental based on experience. The differnce is, with diving, it's much easier to enter the realm of higher difficutly without even realizing it. At least when you're skiing, you have to stand at the top and look down. (It's amazing how many people pass that up when all the can see is the first 50 ft, and the runout 1000 vertical feet below) In most case in diving, there isn't that distinct fight/flight., "Danger, Will Robinson" call made in you rmind.
My .03