victorzamora
Contributor
If you had a normal 6 sided die, but all sides were black except 1 (1/6), would you really be shocked if you rolled so that the 1 white side was up? No, of course not. Nor would you be very surprised if you rolled 6 of them, and they were all black except 1. Or even if there were 2 white, and 4 black. All are pretty reasonable because the chances are at a familiar scale. You wouldn't say that rolling white was "anomalous" or "unexpected", even though the chances of rolling black are much much higher.
1/100, or 1/1,000 or 1/10,000 are unfamiliar scales. DCS chances for rec dive is somewhere around 3/10,000. 3/10,000 is not something we deal with in our normal lives. Humans do well within a certain range. Things that are too big, too small, too fast, too slow, or in this case, too rare are tough to work with. Hence looking for explanations beyond "well, it was bound to happen eventually", which is actually the case.
I think your analogy is lacking something. I feel like there are things we can do to reduce the chance of DCS. So, "deserved" is selecting a die with 5 white sides....and "undeserved" is selecting a die with 1 white side. The closer you ride super aggressive deco profiles, the more "white sides" the die has on it. To me, breaking the "rules" is a "deserved" hit, or expected, or explainable, or whatever. You do things that increase the chance of you getting hit by a white side. I think that getting a hit off of a die with 5 white sides can teach us one set of lessons. I also think that getting a hit off of a 1-white-side die might teach us about deco profiles.