Kinda depends on what your predominant intended use is...
In my opinion, if using mostly at night, 10w may fit the bill.
For daytime signalling use, like in a GUE tech 1 course where you will have to contact your buddy every so often for a manifold failure, mask loss or other emergent event, I'd go for the 21w, since I feel 18s will soon be obsolete, and the 10w just does not cut the mustard. I feel sure that you need more than a 10w for daytime signalling use.
The 50w is nice (I dive with someone who uses it now and then), but you can't get the same burn times.
Dive with a few folks that have these lights and see the differnce...