Wow, you must be hilarious at parties. You realize a lot of dives are done on the fly. I know where I am going, but not necessarily what I am going to do when I get there. The “learn to dive doubles” argument makes no sense for 90% of divers. Not every diver is interested in wearing doubles and might not expect to be within arms reach of their buddy at all times. The idea of a pony is not about having enough air but having redundancy in the event of a catastrophic failure. I would never dive if I was going to plan every dive like it was the Andrea Doria. If you enjoy the complexities of being a tech diver and like to calculate and plan every dive, god bless, but there is plenty to see on a single tank.
I am a hoot at parties, sir, lol. Nevertheless, you proved my point(s) with this statement: "The idea of a pony is not about having enough air but having redundancy in the event of a catastrophic failure."
1. Doubles are much easier to carry and create a balanced rig for weighting. (Considering most divers are over/underweighted anyways, imagine now adding an AL40 to that configuration on one side, oof.)
2. If a recreational diver knows how to calculate their minimum gas correctly, they would know how much gas they would need in a case of an emergency to get them or both them and their buddy to the surface. E,g a single AL80's minimum gas to 80ft would be ~ 1000psi with a ~ distressed SCR. So, to be safe, the buddy team would call the dive when one of them reached 1000psi in their tank as a level of conservatism, risk mitigation, and psychological safety
* "~" = according to the hypothetical diver team's surface consumption rate E.g. 0.75, 0.80. 1.0 cuft per minute.
Folks can dive however they want; I don't care—but when there is a better solution to a common problem, I'll share what I have learned that might help in a forum such as this.