Hurricane Ike Looks at Northern Antilles, T&Cs, Bahamas

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They're starting the keys evacauation plan. I just saw it on the news.

Sat 9am Visitors
Sun 8am KW lower keys
Sun Noon Mid Keys
Sun 4 PM upper Keys
 
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We are putting up shutters,securing the boat etc. Might be leaving Sunday to coconut creek(in laws) but not sure yet. Plenty of pets to move.
I dont like IKE!!!
 
Looks like Ike may dip a little further south even, losing some power with an overland run thru Cuba. Better news for Florida's Keys, altho risks remain high. A reminder from Dr.Masters: "Bay-side surge comes well after the storm center has passed the Keys, from the westerly winds behind the storm. Too many people have been harmed because they thought it was safe to go near the water on the bay side just after a storm has passed."

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Looks like T&Cs, southern Bahamas and Hispaniola - the most populous island in the Caribbean are taking it now. "The British government arranged extra flights to move visitors to Turks and Caicos, a British crown colony, out of harm's way before the Providenciales airport was forced to close about noon."

Haiti has severe problems year 'round, but has really suffered this storm season. Before Ike: "Haiti faces a growing humanitarian crisis after receding floodwaters from tropical storm Hanna left hundreds of bodies on the ruined streets of the northern city of Gonaives. The death toll from the third major storm to hit the impoverished Caribbean country in recent weeks rose above 500 yesterday, with more than a quarter of a million people left homeless." A UN chartered ship arrived Friday and began distributing high-energy biscuits and water to emergency shelters where 40,000 people were marooned and increasingly desperate. "More than 10,000 people have left Gonaïves on foot, swimming and wading and heading for the next town about 45 miles to the south, said Daniel Rouzier, Haiti chairman of Food for the Poor."

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After Hispaniola and Cuba, out into the Gulf, maybe a pass thru the Yucatan strait, on to Louisiana or Texas? Who knows? Time will tell.
 
PCB?

Grand Iguana Island, population around 1,000 and maximum elevation a little over 100 ft, took a bad hit last night. All the models seem to agree on Ike traveling much of the length of Cuba now. Aid has been delivered on Haiti and Cuba following Gust's earlier hits even from the US which maintains a trade embargo on Cuba. I'm sure aid will be severely needed in Haiti, Iguana, and Cuba after Ike.

After Cuba, the models do not agree because of too many variables affecting possible routes. With low wind shear and warm waters to cross, Ike could land in about a week as a Cat-3 anywhere on the Gulf between the Florida panhandle and Mexico with wide storm impact and even Tampa is not in the clear.
 

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Will Cuba and The United States open international relaytions in the interest of global peace when they need our help? I doubt the Russian will come to their aide this time
 
Will Cuba and The United States open international relaytions in the interest of global peace when they need our help? I doubt the Russian will come to their aide this time
Nope, or not planned for now, altho some US lawmakers suggest it...
US offers Cuba aid for hurricane victims - Yahoo! News
WASHINGTON (AFP) - The US government said Friday it was trying to aid victims of severe Caribbean storms by offering Cuba supplies via relief groups and by releasing funds for Jamaica, Haiti and the Dominican Republic.

Washington's decision to contact Havana is in keeping with past US moves to send disaster aid to Cuba and does not mark a shift in US government policy toward isolating the Communist island nation, officials said.
I think the popular feeling among US lawmakers is wanting the aid to be delivered to the needy, not turned over to the government with some records of abuse.
Cuba Rejects American Offer of Hurricane Aid

Russia is indeed delivering: Another 2 RME (Russian) planes deliver a new humanitarian cargo to Cuba
 
Will Cuba and The United States open international relaytions in the interest of global peace when they need our help? I doubt the Russian will come to their aide this time

They do allow overflights of the hurricane hunter aircraft on an individual flight approval basis, so someone is talking to someone at some level
 
They do allow overflights of the hurricane hunter aircraft on an individual flight approval basis, so someone is talking to someone at some level
The countries do have a history of helping each other with storm info over a hundred years old. Cuba warned us about the 1900 Hurricane that leveled Galveston Is, even tho it did little good at the federal level.
 
Finished with Haiti, T&Cs, southern Bahamas, and Ike continues traveling the length of Cuba. The Florida Keys may be spared, and the evacuation has been suspended but return has been discouraged until Wednesday. Looks like Ike is dumping rain bands on the Caymans, may just miss Cancun, and head for Texas or northern Mexico - subject to change over the week....
 

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https://www.shearwater.com/products/swift/

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